Although the media has been full of ‘records broken on stock exchanges..’, these have all related to the US where NASDAQ, S&P and other indices have all broken into record territory. See New highs. Over here in the UK, things are much more subdued. Indeed, the FTSE 100 is up just 1% YTD and all of that gain came in Aug. The TechMark100 is up 4.5% YTD compared with a 9.7% rise in NASDAQ. NASDAQ might indeed be back to those record dot com days of Apr 2000, but the TechMark100 at 3233 is still way off its 2000 peak of c4300.
This month it was the FTSE Hardware Index which soared – up 14.5%. This was on the back of a massive 49% gain at CSR which received – but rejected – a bid approach from US Microchip Technologies. See FT. Also ARM put on 14.6% on the back of high expectations for the Apple iPhone 6 launch on 9th Sept. Indeed Apple itself was up 7.5% in Aug/28% YTD as its fortunes rebounded and hopes of a long awaited ‘new product genre’ soared. Indeed at $102.5 (or $717.5 before the 7:1 split) that was way ahead of its Sept 2012 peak of $703.
The FTSE SCS Index (which most closely tracks the UK SITS shares we follow) put on3.6% in Aug but is still down 0.2% YTD.
Unfortunately Digital Barriers had another torrid month – falling 16% (down 49% YTD) on yet another warning. This time as its business in Africa was affected by the Ebola epidemic. See – Break even continues to elude Digital Barriers. Despite Confident Quindell raises profit guidanceQuindell shares were down another 14% making 40% YTD. Serco can do without more bad news. Although they refuted reports of the over-charging at the NHS, Serco shares fell 14% in Aug or 40% YTD. Despite claiming success with their fundraising, Outsourcery was down another 13% in Aug (making a massive 83% YTD). We took it all with a pinch of salt as you can read for yourself!
TeleCity lost 6.8% as CEO Mike Tobin announced his departure. They are still showing a 2.1% gain YTD though.
At the other end of the scale, Enables IT put on 65%. But it was more of a recovery as they are still down 52% YTD. Bit like Blur which managed a 25% rise in August but are still down 86% YTD. See Blur and the small print. EG Solutions put on 31% on an upbeat trading announcement – see EG Solutions regains its confidence -and are back to where they started the year.
Globally there was very little of magnitude to note. Salesforce managed a 8.9% rise in Aug but, at a 7.1% gain YTD has not kept pace with NASDDAQ. See Salesforce – so many expectations to meet. I’m just waiting for the profits… Both Sopra (down 10.6% and Steria (down 4.2% but up 27% YTD) lost a little as their marriage was finally consummated. See Sopra Steria entente cordiale passes muster?.
Must admit to increased nervousness about the outlook. Too many ‘geopolitical’ threats at the moment. Even in the UK, there is the Scottish referendum (far from a done deal for the ‘NOs), interest rate rises sooner than many expect and an increased UKIP threat to a Conservative win at next May’s General Election. The old adage ‘Sell in May , don’t come back ‘til St Leger’s day’ has not been a wise maxim this year. But we are very unsure what will happen after those horses are back in their winter stables.